Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 at Baiyun International Airport, mirroring forecast consensus from the Guangdong Meteorological Observatory and commercial models like those underpinning AccuWeather (~29°C) and weather.com.cn (27°C). This positioning stems from recent updates showing a 1–2°C decline in projected daytime highs to 28–30°C, as unstable weather brings frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain after multi-cloud skies on April 15, capping peak insolation through increased cloud cover. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of convective activity versus afternoon solar heating, light breezes limiting low-level mixing, persistent high humidity favoring latent over sensible heat, and urban heat island effects at the airport station—any early clearance could favor 29°C, while prolonged showers tilt toward 26°C or below. Overnight model refreshes from ECMWF and GFS ensembles will likely sharpen trader sentiment ahead of dawn observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
29°C 22%
26°C or below 22%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
26°C or below
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 22%
26°C or below 22%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
26°C or below
$370 交易量
22%
27°C
$162 交易量
21%
28°C
$196 交易量
20%
29°C
$170 交易量
22%
30°C
$308 交易量
8%
31°C
$364 交易量
10%
32°C
$687 交易量
2%
33°C
$481 交易量
1%
34°C
$1,917 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,644 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 at Baiyun International Airport, mirroring forecast consensus from the Guangdong Meteorological Observatory and commercial models like those underpinning AccuWeather (~29°C) and weather.com.cn (27°C). This positioning stems from recent updates showing a 1–2°C decline in projected daytime highs to 28–30°C, as unstable weather brings frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain after multi-cloud skies on April 15, capping peak insolation through increased cloud cover. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of convective activity versus afternoon solar heating, light breezes limiting low-level mixing, persistent high humidity favoring latent over sensible heat, and urban heat island effects at the airport station—any early clearance could favor 29°C, while prolonged showers tilt toward 26°C or below. Overnight model refreshes from ECMWF and GFS ensembles will likely sharpen trader sentiment ahead of dawn observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$7,570结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 at Baiyun International Airport, mirroring forecast consensus from the Guangdong Meteorological Observatory and commercial models like those underpinning AccuWeather (~29°C) and weather.com.cn (27°C). This positioning stems from recent updates showing a 1–2°C decline in projected daytime highs to 28–30°C, as unstable weather brings frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain after multi-cloud skies on April 15, capping peak insolation through increased cloud cover. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of convective activity versus afternoon solar heating, light breezes limiting low-level mixing, persistent high humidity favoring latent over sensible heat, and urban heat island effects at the airport station—any early clearance could favor 29°C, while prolonged showers tilt toward 26°C or below. Overnight model refreshes from ECMWF and GFS ensembles will likely sharpen trader sentiment ahead of dawn observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,570结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETMarket-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–29°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 at Baiyun International Airport, mirroring forecast consensus from the Guangdong Meteorological Observatory and commercial models like those underpinning AccuWeather (~29°C) and weather.com.cn (27°C). This positioning stems from recent updates showing a 1–2°C decline in projected daytime highs to 28–30°C, as unstable weather brings frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain after multi-cloud skies on April 15, capping peak insolation through increased cloud cover. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of convective activity versus afternoon solar heating, light breezes limiting low-level mixing, persistent high humidity favoring latent over sensible heat, and urban heat island effects at the airport station—any early clearance could favor 29°C, while prolonged showers tilt toward 26°C or below. Overnight model refreshes from ECMWF and GFS ensembles will likely sharpen trader sentiment ahead of dawn observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题