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4月17日香港气温最高？

Market icon

4月17日香港气温最高？

4月 16

4月 17

4月 18

4月 16

4月 17

4月 18

29°C 52%

28°C 18%

30°C 16%

31°C或以上 3.9%

Polymarket
最新

$75,534 交易量

29°C 52%

28°C 18%

30°C 16%

31°C或以上 3.9%

Polymarket
最新

$75,534 交易量

21°C或以下

$15,684 交易量

<1%

22°C

$7,066 交易量

<1%

23°C

$12,961 交易量

1%

24°C

$7,531 交易量

1%

25°C

$6,598 交易量

<1%

26°C

$5,486 交易量

1%

27°C

$6,276 交易量

4%

28°C

$4,582 交易量

18%

29°C

$3,510 交易量

52%

30°C

$3,463 交易量

16%

31°C或以上

$2,791 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 16, projects hot conditions on April 17 with sunny intervals and light south winds force 2-3, yielding a temperature range of 25-29°C amid an ongoing heatwave that began April 11 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone influence over the South China Sea. This positions 29°C as the trader consensus frontrunner at 54% implied probability, reflecting model consensus for peak daytime heating before a trough brings isolated showers later, potentially capping extremes. Current observations show 26°C at the Observatory early April 16, consistent with above-normal spring trends in this subtropical climate; revised forecasts today could shift odds as upper-air disturbances evolve.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,534
结束日期
2026-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 16, projects hot conditions on April 17 with sunny intervals and light south winds force 2-3, yielding a temperature range of 25-29°C amid an ongoing heatwave that began April 11 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone influence over the South China Sea. This positions 29°C as the trader consensus frontrunner at 54% implied probability, reflecting model consensus for peak daytime heating before a trough brings isolated showers later, potentially capping extremes. Current observations show 26°C at the Observatory early April 16, consistent with above-normal spring trends in this subtropical climate; revised forecasts today could shift odds as upper-air disturbances evolve.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,534
结束日期
2026-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"4月17日香港气温最高？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"29°C"，概率为 52%，其次是"28°C"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 52¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 52%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"4月17日香港气温最高？"已产生 $75.5K 的总交易量（自Apr 15, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"4月17日香港气温最高？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"4月17日香港气温最高？"的当前领先者是"29°C"，概率为 52%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 52%。紧随其后的结果是"28°C"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"4月17日香港气温最高？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。