Latest short-range forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like GFS and ECMWF point to a high of around 29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 33% implied probability, amid a warming trend this week with recent highs climbing from mid-20s°C to 28°C under high-pressure ridging. Clear skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation on the 2,240-meter-high plateau, though urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C (22.5%). High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS warmer and drier, ECMWF hinting at afternoon clouds—and a distant northern cold front with negligible central impact; official CONAGUA airport measurements will resolve. New 12Z model runs today could refine odds before tomorrow's peak heating midday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 33%
30°C 26%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
26%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
30°C 26%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
25°C or below
$967 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,445 交易量
1%
27°C
$734 交易量
6%
28°C
$271 交易量
20%
29°C
$311 交易量
33%
30°C
$153 交易量
26%
31°C
$300 交易量
14%
32°C
$671 交易量
3%
33°C
$639 交易量
1%
34°C
$566 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$2,086 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like GFS and ECMWF point to a high of around 29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 33% implied probability, amid a warming trend this week with recent highs climbing from mid-20s°C to 28°C under high-pressure ridging. Clear skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation on the 2,240-meter-high plateau, though urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C (22.5%). High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS warmer and drier, ECMWF hinting at afternoon clouds—and a distant northern cold front with negligible central impact; official CONAGUA airport measurements will resolve. New 12Z model runs today could refine odds before tomorrow's peak heating midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,139结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like GFS and ECMWF point to a high of around 29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 33% implied probability, amid a warming trend this week with recent highs climbing from mid-20s°C to 28°C under high-pressure ridging. Clear skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation on the 2,240-meter-high plateau, though urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C (22.5%). High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS warmer and drier, ECMWF hinting at afternoon clouds—and a distant northern cold front with negligible central impact; official CONAGUA airport measurements will resolve. New 12Z model runs today could refine odds before tomorrow's peak heating midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,139结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETLatest short-range forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like GFS and ECMWF point to a high of around 29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 33% implied probability, amid a warming trend this week with recent highs climbing from mid-20s°C to 28°C under high-pressure ridging. Clear skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation on the 2,240-meter-high plateau, though urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C (22.5%). High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS warmer and drier, ECMWF hinting at afternoon clouds—and a distant northern cold front with negligible central impact; official CONAGUA airport measurements will resolve. New 12Z model runs today could refine odds before tomorrow's peak heating midday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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