Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 40%
23°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 6%
最新
$18,990 交易量
最新
$18,990 交易量
2026-04-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
32%
24°C
40%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 6%
最新
$18,990 交易量
最新
$18,990 交易量
2026-04-17
18°C or below
$3,341 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,510 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,359 交易量
<1%
21°C
$4,154 交易量
1%
22°C
$2,565 交易量
6%
23°C
$1,383 交易量
32%
24°C
$964 交易量
40%
25°C
$1,311 交易量
11%
26°C
$1,375 交易量
4%
27°C
$988 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$1,067 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$18,990结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,990结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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