Latest Météo-France guidance, ECMWF ensemble means, and GFS model runs project Paris highs of 20-22°C on April 17 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution point—under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring air above seasonal norms of about 16°C. This tight forecast clustering, refined in the past 24 hours' updates, positions 21°C as trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, with 20°C (24%) and 22°C (20%) close behind, reflecting capital-weighted agreement on above-average warmth from southerly flows and ample sunshine. Ensemble spread remains low at ±1-2°C, though timing of peak heating or stray clouds could nudge outcomes; watch afternoon bulletins from Météo-France for final tweaks before observations begin tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴黎气温最高？
4月17日巴黎气温最高？
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 20%
19°C 13%
最新
$36,609 交易量
最新
$36,609 交易量
2026-04-17
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
13%
20°C
27%
21°C
37%
22°C
20%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 20%
19°C 13%
最新
$36,609 交易量
最新
$36,609 交易量
2026-04-17
16°C或以下
$2,978 交易量
1%
17°C
$4,639 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,006 交易量
1%
19°C
$4,540 交易量
13%
20°C
$3,279 交易量
27%
21°C
$2,348 交易量
37%
22°C
$2,143 交易量
20%
23°C
$3,140 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,749 交易量
1%
25°C
$2,799 交易量
1%
26°C或更高
$4,427 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance, ECMWF ensemble means, and GFS model runs project Paris highs of 20-22°C on April 17 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution point—under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring air above seasonal norms of about 16°C. This tight forecast clustering, refined in the past 24 hours' updates, positions 21°C as trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, with 20°C (24%) and 22°C (20%) close behind, reflecting capital-weighted agreement on above-average warmth from southerly flows and ample sunshine. Ensemble spread remains low at ±1-2°C, though timing of peak heating or stray clouds could nudge outcomes; watch afternoon bulletins from Météo-France for final tweaks before observations begin tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$36,609结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance, ECMWF ensemble means, and GFS model runs project Paris highs of 20-22°C on April 17 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution point—under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring air above seasonal norms of about 16°C. This tight forecast clustering, refined in the past 24 hours' updates, positions 21°C as trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, with 20°C (24%) and 22°C (20%) close behind, reflecting capital-weighted agreement on above-average warmth from southerly flows and ample sunshine. Ensemble spread remains low at ±1-2°C, though timing of peak heating or stray clouds could nudge outcomes; watch afternoon bulletins from Météo-France for final tweaks before observations begin tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$36,609结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest Météo-France guidance, ECMWF ensemble means, and GFS model runs project Paris highs of 20-22°C on April 17 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station—the market's resolution point—under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring air above seasonal norms of about 16°C. This tight forecast clustering, refined in the past 24 hours' updates, positions 21°C as trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability, with 20°C (24%) and 22°C (20%) close behind, reflecting capital-weighted agreement on above-average warmth from southerly flows and ample sunshine. Ensemble spread remains low at ±1-2°C, though timing of peak heating or stray clouds could nudge outcomes; watch afternoon bulletins from Météo-France for final tweaks before observations begin tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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