Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, issued April 16, projects a Seoul high of 16–20°C on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies in the capital region clearing toward night, fueling trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This aligns with an ongoing warm spell, where April 16 highs reached 29°C amid clear conditions—well above mid-April historical averages of 15–17°C driven by strengthening high-pressure systems and reduced cold air advection. Cloud cover and potential southern rain spillover cap upside risk, supporting 16% odds for exactly 17°C and lower probabilities for cooler outcomes. Updated KMA model runs today could refine trajectories before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日首尔气温最高？
4月17日首尔气温最高？
18°C或更高 72%
17°C 22%
16°C 7%
15°C 1.8%
最新
$102,059 交易量
最新
$102,059 交易量
2026-04-17
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
22%
18°C或更高
72%
18°C或更高 72%
17°C 22%
16°C 7%
15°C 1.8%
最新
$102,059 交易量
最新
$102,059 交易量
2026-04-17
8°C或以下
$16,702 交易量
<1%
9°C
$10,842 交易量
<1%
10°C
$5,502 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5,084 交易量
<1%
12°C
$5,805 交易量
<1%
13°C
$7,309 交易量
1%
14°C
$10,309 交易量
<1%
15°C
$9,381 交易量
2%
16°C
$8,621 交易量
7%
17°C
$6,373 交易量
22%
18°C或更高
$16,179 交易量
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, issued April 16, projects a Seoul high of 16–20°C on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies in the capital region clearing toward night, fueling trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This aligns with an ongoing warm spell, where April 16 highs reached 29°C amid clear conditions—well above mid-April historical averages of 15–17°C driven by strengthening high-pressure systems and reduced cold air advection. Cloud cover and potential southern rain spillover cap upside risk, supporting 16% odds for exactly 17°C and lower probabilities for cooler outcomes. Updated KMA model runs today could refine trajectories before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$102,059结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, issued April 16, projects a Seoul high of 16–20°C on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies in the capital region clearing toward night, fueling trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This aligns with an ongoing warm spell, where April 16 highs reached 29°C amid clear conditions—well above mid-April historical averages of 15–17°C driven by strengthening high-pressure systems and reduced cold air advection. Cloud cover and potential southern rain spillover cap upside risk, supporting 16% odds for exactly 17°C and lower probabilities for cooler outcomes. Updated KMA model runs today could refine trajectories before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$102,059结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, issued April 16, projects a Seoul high of 16–20°C on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies in the capital region clearing toward night, fueling trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This aligns with an ongoing warm spell, where April 16 highs reached 29°C amid clear conditions—well above mid-April historical averages of 15–17°C driven by strengthening high-pressure systems and reduced cold air advection. Cloud cover and potential southern rain spillover cap upside risk, supporting 16% odds for exactly 17°C and lower probabilities for cooler outcomes. Updated KMA model runs today could refine trajectories before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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