The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature at the Songshan Airport station on April 17 at 24-29°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward 28-30°C outcomes amid persistent above-normal warmth from southerly winds. Recent days exemplify this pattern, with April 11 peaking at 33°C and April 15 near 30°C, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 26°C due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud development potentially capping peaks at 28°C versus prolonged clear skies enabling 30°C via urban heat island effects; ensemble model spreads reflect this uncertainty, with final CWA updates expected through evening. Resolution hinges on official observations finalized post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日台北气温最高?
4月17日台北气温最高?
29°C 26%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
$23,938 交易量
$23,938 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
19%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
29°C 26%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
$23,938 交易量
$23,938 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
19%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature at the Songshan Airport station on April 17 at 24-29°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward 28-30°C outcomes amid persistent above-normal warmth from southerly winds. Recent days exemplify this pattern, with April 11 peaking at 33°C and April 15 near 30°C, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 26°C due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud development potentially capping peaks at 28°C versus prolonged clear skies enabling 30°C via urban heat island effects; ensemble model spreads reflect this uncertainty, with final CWA updates expected through evening. Resolution hinges on official observations finalized post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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