Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, combined with Rogers’ long tenure since 2003 and consistent reelection margins, anchors the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus. Alabama’s eastern counties, including areas around Auburn and Anniston, have delivered reliable Republican support in recent cycles. While national political shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, the district’s structural partisan lean and incumbency advantage present significant barriers to an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,756 거래량
$17,756 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
6%
$17,756 거래량
$17,756 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,833 거래량
92%
민주당
$8,924 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, combined with Rogers’ long tenure since 2003 and consistent reelection margins, anchors the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus. Alabama’s eastern counties, including areas around Auburn and Anniston, have delivered reliable Republican support in recent cycles. While national political shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, the district’s structural partisan lean and incumbency advantage present significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$17,756종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, combined with Rogers’ long tenure since 2003 and consistent reelection margins, anchors the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus. Alabama’s eastern counties, including areas around Auburn and Anniston, have delivered reliable Republican support in recent cycles. While national political shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, the district’s structural partisan lean and incumbency advantage present significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,756종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Alabama’s 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, combined with Rogers’ long tenure since 2003 and consistent reelection margins, anchors the strong Republican position reflected in current trader consensus. Alabama’s eastern counties, including areas around Auburn and Anniston, have delivered reliable Republican support in recent cycles. While national political shifts, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, the district’s structural partisan lean and incumbency advantage present significant barriers to an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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