Arizona's 2nd Congressional District remains early in the 2026 cycle, with Republican primary and Democratic primary contests scheduled for July 21. Incumbent Eli Crane seeks renomination for the GOP, while Jonathan Nez advances on the Democratic side in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. The race encompasses rural northeastern areas including Prescott, Flagstaff, and portions of the Navajo Nation. Limited campaign activity and unresolved primaries contribute to the narrow gap between Republican and Democratic probabilities in trader pricing. Potential separation could emerge from primary results, fundraising trends, or candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
42%
Republican Party
45%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$257 거래량
42%
Republican Party
$393 거래량
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 2nd Congressional District remains early in the 2026 cycle, with Republican primary and Democratic primary contests scheduled for July 21. Incumbent Eli Crane seeks renomination for the GOP, while Jonathan Nez advances on the Democratic side in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. The race encompasses rural northeastern areas including Prescott, Flagstaff, and portions of the Navajo Nation. Limited campaign activity and unresolved primaries contribute to the narrow gap between Republican and Democratic probabilities in trader pricing. Potential separation could emerge from primary results, fundraising trends, or candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
거래량
$650종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 2nd Congressional District remains early in the 2026 cycle, with Republican primary and Democratic primary contests scheduled for July 21. Incumbent Eli Crane seeks renomination for the GOP, while Jonathan Nez advances on the Democratic side in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. The race encompasses rural northeastern areas including Prescott, Flagstaff, and portions of the Navajo Nation. Limited campaign activity and unresolved primaries contribute to the narrow gap between Republican and Democratic probabilities in trader pricing. Potential separation could emerge from primary results, fundraising trends, or candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$650종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 2nd Congressional District remains early in the 2026 cycle, with Republican primary and Democratic primary contests scheduled for July 21. Incumbent Eli Crane seeks renomination for the GOP, while Jonathan Nez advances on the Democratic side in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. The race encompasses rural northeastern areas including Prescott, Flagstaff, and portions of the Navajo Nation. Limited campaign activity and unresolved primaries contribute to the narrow gap between Republican and Democratic probabilities in trader pricing. Potential separation could emerge from primary results, fundraising trends, or candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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