**Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a clear edge in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The South Shore Long Island seat, covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties, has trended Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established position. Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin advanced after the June 23 primary was canceled, but the seat’s structural advantages and lack of major recent shifts keep the Republican position favored in trader pricing. Midterm dynamics and national conditions could still influence turnout, yet current positioning reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and incumbency strength rather than any late-breaking developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,861 거래량
74%
Democratic Party
$5,958 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a clear edge in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The South Shore Long Island seat, covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties, has trended Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established position.
Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin advanced after the June 23 primary was canceled, but the seat’s structural advantages and lack of major recent shifts keep the Republican position favored in trader pricing. Midterm dynamics and national conditions could still influence turnout, yet current positioning reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and incumbency strength rather than any late-breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$8,819종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a clear edge in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The South Shore Long Island seat, covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties, has trended Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established position.
Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin advanced after the June 23 primary was canceled, but the seat’s structural advantages and lack of major recent shifts keep the Republican position favored in trader pricing. Midterm dynamics and national conditions could still influence turnout, yet current positioning reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and incumbency strength rather than any late-breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,819종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a clear edge in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The South Shore Long Island seat, covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties, has trended Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing nearly 60 percent of the vote in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s established position. Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin advanced after the June 23 primary was canceled, but the seat’s structural advantages and lack of major recent shifts keep the Republican position favored in trader pricing. Midterm dynamics and national conditions could still influence turnout, yet current positioning reflects the district’s consistent Republican performance and incumbency strength rather than any late-breaking developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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