Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19 primary, positioning her to defend a seat she flipped in 2024 in a district rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, but the race lacks the intensity of more competitive contests. Bynum's established fundraising edge and the district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 84 percent. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited new developments have emerged to shift positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$367 거래량
85%
Republican Party
$137 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19 primary, positioning her to defend a seat she flipped in 2024 in a district rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, but the race lacks the intensity of more competitive contests. Bynum's established fundraising edge and the district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 84 percent. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited new developments have emerged to shift positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$504종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19 primary, positioning her to defend a seat she flipped in 2024 in a district rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, but the race lacks the intensity of more competitive contests. Bynum's established fundraising edge and the district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 84 percent. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited new developments have emerged to shift positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$504종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 19 primary, positioning her to defend a seat she flipped in 2024 in a district rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Patti Adair, a county commissioner, but the race lacks the intensity of more competitive contests. Bynum's established fundraising edge and the district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent statewide voting patterns, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 84 percent. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited new developments have emerged to shift positioning, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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