NEA's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a maximum temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 12 amid expected afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, yet market-implied odds remain tightly split at 38% for 32°C and 37% for 31°C, reflecting trader skepticism on peak insolation due to variable cloud cover and convective activity. The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook supports daily highs of 33–35°C for early April despite wetter patterns, but historical April climatology at Changi Airport—the likely resolution station—averages around 31°C, with showers often capping peaks below 33°C via reduced solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing and spatial coverage; early widespread rain favors 31°C, while patchy delays enable 32°C. Updated hourly forecasts expected later today could shift consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 12?
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 12%
33°C 9%
$26,000 交易量
$26,000 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 12%
33°C 9%
$26,000 交易量
$26,000 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's latest 4-day outlook forecasts a maximum temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 12 amid expected afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions, yet market-implied odds remain tightly split at 38% for 32°C and 37% for 31°C, reflecting trader skepticism on peak insolation due to variable cloud cover and convective activity. The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook supports daily highs of 33–35°C for early April despite wetter patterns, but historical April climatology at Changi Airport—the likely resolution station—averages around 31°C, with showers often capping peaks below 33°C via reduced solar heating. Key differentiators include shower onset timing and spatial coverage; early widespread rain favors 31°C, while patchy delays enable 32°C. Updated hourly forecasts expected later today could shift consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions