Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (36%) or 13°C (26%) in Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest forecast model runs from Russian Hydrometeorological Center services and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs of 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with 65% precipitation risk capping warming. Current observations today (April 16) show similar overcast conditions with light winds from the southwest, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of around 12°C amid transitional spring patterns influenced by lingering polar air masses. Historical data at Vnukovo Airport, the market's resolution source, supports this tight range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or insolation could nudge outcomes; final NOAA measurements will confirm after local midnight. Updated hourly forecasts expected through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
13°C 26%
11°C 17%
14°C 14%
最新
$14,902 交易量
最新
$14,902 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
17%
12°C
37%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 26%
11°C 17%
14°C 14%
最新
$14,902 交易量
最新
$14,902 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
$1,496 交易量
1%
8°C
$1,858 交易量
<1%
9°C
$642 交易量
2%
10°C
$396 交易量
6%
11°C
$307 交易量
17%
12°C
$223 交易量
37%
13°C
$216 交易量
20%
14°C
$643 交易量
14%
15°C
$2,177 交易量
4%
16°C
$2,885 交易量
1%
17°C or higher
$4,072 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (36%) or 13°C (26%) in Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest forecast model runs from Russian Hydrometeorological Center services and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs of 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with 65% precipitation risk capping warming. Current observations today (April 16) show similar overcast conditions with light winds from the southwest, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of around 12°C amid transitional spring patterns influenced by lingering polar air masses. Historical data at Vnukovo Airport, the market's resolution source, supports this tight range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or insolation could nudge outcomes; final NOAA measurements will confirm after local midnight. Updated hourly forecasts expected through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$14,902结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (36%) or 13°C (26%) in Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest forecast model runs from Russian Hydrometeorological Center services and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs of 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with 65% precipitation risk capping warming. Current observations today (April 16) show similar overcast conditions with light winds from the southwest, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of around 12°C amid transitional spring patterns influenced by lingering polar air masses. Historical data at Vnukovo Airport, the market's resolution source, supports this tight range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or insolation could nudge outcomes; final NOAA measurements will confirm after local midnight. Updated hourly forecasts expected through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,902结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (36%) or 13°C (26%) in Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest forecast model runs from Russian Hydrometeorological Center services and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs of 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with 65% precipitation risk capping warming. Current observations today (April 16) show similar overcast conditions with light winds from the southwest, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of around 12°C amid transitional spring patterns influenced by lingering polar air masses. Historical data at Vnukovo Airport, the market's resolution source, supports this tight range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or insolation could nudge outcomes; final NOAA measurements will confirm after local midnight. Updated hourly forecasts expected through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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