Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 17 clustering around 26-27°C, driving trader consensus with 29% implied probability for 26°C and 30.5% for 27°C amid 18.5% for 28°C. This reflects a warming trend after a week of frontal systems bringing rain and overcast skies that suppressed recent highs to the low 20s°C, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 22°C due to southerly winds and a developing high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent low clouds limiting insolation to favor 26°C, versus partial clearing enabling 1-2°C higher peaks—and potential early showers; new model runs overnight and hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the market nears closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 31%
26°C 29%
28°C 19%
25°C 14%
$10,411 交易量
$10,411 交易量
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
26°C 29%
28°C 19%
25°C 14%
$10,411 交易量
$10,411 交易量
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 17 clustering around 26-27°C, driving trader consensus with 29% implied probability for 26°C and 30.5% for 27°C amid 18.5% for 28°C. This reflects a warming trend after a week of frontal systems bringing rain and overcast skies that suppressed recent highs to the low 20s°C, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 22°C due to southerly winds and a developing high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent low clouds limiting insolation to favor 26°C, versus partial clearing enabling 1-2°C higher peaks—and potential early showers; new model runs overnight and hourly observations will sharpen resolution as the market nears closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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