Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 27–29°C at Baiyun International Airport, the market's resolution source, amid mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and possible evening thunderstorms. This follows a warmer-than-normal April, with monthly means 3°C above the 22.5°C baseline, but recent model runs highlight differentiating factors: persistent morning cloud cover and 15–20% afternoon rain risk could cap peaks at 26°C or below by limiting solar insolation, while transient sunny breaks might enable 29°C via urban heat island effects in the humid subtropical climate. Hourly updates from monitoring stations will clarify convective timing before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 28%
29°C 22%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
26°C or below
28%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
22%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 28%
29°C 22%
27°C 21%
28°C 20%
26°C or below
28%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
22%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 27–29°C at Baiyun International Airport, the market's resolution source, amid mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and possible evening thunderstorms. This follows a warmer-than-normal April, with monthly means 3°C above the 22.5°C baseline, but recent model runs highlight differentiating factors: persistent morning cloud cover and 15–20% afternoon rain risk could cap peaks at 26°C or below by limiting solar insolation, while transient sunny breaks might enable 29°C via urban heat island effects in the humid subtropical climate. Hourly updates from monitoring stations will clarify convective timing before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions