Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF model consensus project Madrid's highest temperature on April 17 at around 27°C, positioning it as the market-implied frontrunner at 40.5% trader probability, with 26°C (26.5%) and 28°C (22.5%) close behind. This reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime heating on the Meseta plateau, following cooler mid-week highs near 17–19°C amid transient cloud cover. April climatology averages 18°C maxima, but current warm anomalies and subsidence favor upper-20s peaks; GFS ensembles show minor spread, with risks of higher if winds veer or lower if clouds intrude. Watch AEMET's morning update and Barajas Airport observations for final resolution cues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 23%
25°C 9%
$11,282 交易量
$11,282 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
23%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 39%
26°C 28%
28°C 23%
25°C 9%
$11,282 交易量
$11,282 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
39%
28°C
23%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF model consensus project Madrid's highest temperature on April 17 at around 27°C, positioning it as the market-implied frontrunner at 40.5% trader probability, with 26°C (26.5%) and 28°C (22.5%) close behind. This reflects a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong daytime heating on the Meseta plateau, following cooler mid-week highs near 17–19°C amid transient cloud cover. April climatology averages 18°C maxima, but current warm anomalies and subsidence favor upper-20s peaks; GFS ensembles show minor spread, with risks of higher if winds veer or lower if clouds intrude. Watch AEMET's morning update and Barajas Airport observations for final resolution cues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions