Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a daytime high near 18°C for Tokyo on April 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment in a near-tie between 18°C (34%) and 19°C (35.5%) outcomes. Yesterday's warmer high around 20°C reflected clearer skies, but an incoming front introduces persistent cloud cover that will limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating at Haneda Airport Station, the market's resolution point. Historical mid-April averages hover at 19°C, amplified by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, yet model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertain shower timing and wind shear from southeasterly flow. Updated JMA guidance expected later today could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日东京气温最高？
4月17日东京气温最高？
19°C 38%
18℃ 32%
17°C 14%
20°C 11%
最新
$22,739 交易量
最新
$22,739 交易量
2026-04-17
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
14%
18℃
32%
19°C
38%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C或更高
2%
19°C 38%
18℃ 32%
17°C 14%
20°C 11%
最新
$22,739 交易量
最新
$22,739 交易量
2026-04-17
12°C或以下
$1,951 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,095 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,172 交易量
1%
15°C
$2,605 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,802 交易量
2%
17°C
$964 交易量
14%
18℃
$1,311 交易量
32%
19°C
$1,241 交易量
38%
20°C
$2,124 交易量
11%
21°C
$3,388 交易量
5%
22°C或更高
$3,323 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a daytime high near 18°C for Tokyo on April 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment in a near-tie between 18°C (34%) and 19°C (35.5%) outcomes. Yesterday's warmer high around 20°C reflected clearer skies, but an incoming front introduces persistent cloud cover that will limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating at Haneda Airport Station, the market's resolution point. Historical mid-April averages hover at 19°C, amplified by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, yet model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertain shower timing and wind shear from southeasterly flow. Updated JMA guidance expected later today could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$22,739结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a daytime high near 18°C for Tokyo on April 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment in a near-tie between 18°C (34%) and 19°C (35.5%) outcomes. Yesterday's warmer high around 20°C reflected clearer skies, but an incoming front introduces persistent cloud cover that will limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating at Haneda Airport Station, the market's resolution point. Historical mid-April averages hover at 19°C, amplified by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, yet model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertain shower timing and wind shear from southeasterly flow. Updated JMA guidance expected later today could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,739结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a daytime high near 18°C for Tokyo on April 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment in a near-tie between 18°C (34%) and 19°C (35.5%) outcomes. Yesterday's warmer high around 20°C reflected clearer skies, but an incoming front introduces persistent cloud cover that will limit solar insolation and boundary layer heating at Haneda Airport Station, the market's resolution point. Historical mid-April averages hover at 19°C, amplified by Tokyo's urban heat island effect, yet model ensembles show slight spread due to uncertain shower timing and wind shear from southeasterly flow. Updated JMA guidance expected later today could tip the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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